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Promotional and +EV bets

NeWbZs

By NeWbZs
in Casinos & Sports

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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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Hi everybody,

As a lover of sports bets I am always looking for bets that are +EV. Many times websites offer bets that are promotional and give a lot of EV. Other bets give you a free bet in return. Its sometimes hard to find these bets and if I find one why not share it? So that’s why I made this topic, to share all these promotional bets on different websites.

 

So what I mean is:

-Bets that have increased odds, higher than any site and look to be +EV
-Bets that give a free bet of an equal amount

Often these bets have these rules:

-Short time to bet
- Maximum Stake
- Selected games

 

What I don’t mean:

-Liverpool @ 1.62 is a +EV bet because there opponents have many injuries

To make things easy I thought about a format

The bet:
Odds:
Website + Link:
Restrictions:

 

Ill start of with the first one I found

The bet: Man City, Norwich & Brentford All To Win - Was 7/2, Not 9/2
Odds: 6.50
Website + Link: Williamhill.com (front page of football section)
Restrictions: Maximum stake 5 GBP

 

The bet: West Ham – Manchester utd
Odds: /
Website + Link: Betstars.com https://www.pokerstarssports.com/#/soccer/competitions/event/15860060
Restrictions: A losing bet up to $20 will be converted to a free bet 1:1 (need to be accepted in challenges window)

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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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The bet:   Bet builder on Bayern vs Leipzig  
Odds: 1.40 and higher
Website + Link: Unibet.eu
Restrictions: Open the Advent calander day 5. I think the prize is the same for everybody.

  •     No need to opt-in
  •     Place a Bet Builder bet of minimum €10 on Bayern vs Leipzig
  •    Qualifying Bet must have total minimum odds of 1.40 and a minimum of 2 selections are needed
  •     Immediately receive a 25% Live Profit Boost you can use on the Bayern vs Leipzig match (max stake €25) (It willl be visible in the Free Bets and Uniboost Section)
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anonymousapple Advanced Member

anonymousapple

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Anyone interested in taking this seriously should consider registering at websites like oddsmonkey, teamprofit or other matched betting sites (they have trials afaik). You'll get a shit load of +ev registration offers on sports and casino (all legit sites), list of offers going on everyday like those free bets and sections for price boosts like those posted above. Even if you aren't interested in 'matched betting' its probably worth a look as an offers calendar.

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vanHooff Advanced Member

vanHooff

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I am following this thread, some good nuggets by NeWbZs and anonymousapple.

To contribute to this thread on Saint Nicholas Day I am giving the following advice for people who might not know: 
spend free bets on high odds bets.

To illustrate: imagine a bookmaker offers 1,91 (that is 4,5% vigourish) on pure coinflips.

A bet on 'heads' in a coinflip comes in 1 in 2 times.
With a free bet of EUR 25, for a bet on 1 single coinflip you are getting (1/2*((1,91*25)-25)) + 1/2*0 =  EUR 11,37 in value.

A bet on 'heads 3 times in a row' in 3 consecutive coinflips comes in 1 in 8 times.
With a free bet of EUR 25, for a bet on 3 consecutive coinflips you are getting (1/8*((1,91*1,91*1,91*25)-25)) + 7/8*0 = EUR 18,65 in value.

This is using bets on identical events.
Typical direct bets on higher odds might be bets that the bookmaker takes more vigourish on.

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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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31 minutes ago, vanHooff said:

I am following this thread, some good nuggets by NeWbZs and anonymousapple.

To contribute to this thread on Saint Nicholas Day I am giving the following advice for people who might not know: 
spend free bets on high odds bets.

The PokerStars bet i would definitely spend on high odds, if you win you win big and if you lose you get the free bet. 

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anonymousapple Advanced Member

anonymousapple

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, vanHooff said:

I am following this thread, some good nuggets by NeWbZs and anonymousapple.

To contribute to this thread on Saint Nicholas Day I am giving the following advice for people who might not know: 
spend free bets on high odds bets.

To illustrate: imagine a bookmaker offers 1,91 (that is 4,5% vigourish) on pure coinflips.

A bet on 'heads' in a coinflip comes in 1 in 2 times.
With a free bet of EUR 25, for a bet on 1 single coinflip you are getting (1/2*((1,91*25)-25)) + 1/2*0 =  EUR 11,37 in value.

A bet on 'heads 3 times in a row' in 3 consecutive coinflips comes in 1 in 8 times.
With a free bet of EUR 25, for a bet on 3 consecutive coinflips you are getting (1/8*((1,91*1,91*1,91*25)-25)) + 7/8*0 = EUR 18,65 in value.

This is using bets on identical events.
Typical direct bets on higher odds might be bets that the bookmaker takes more vigourish on.

 

+1 on this. Most (99%) free bets are stakes not returned. You will get most value on it punting high odds. I personally go for horses or accumulators with either on odds above 6.0. Please refrain from putting it on a 1.67 bayern to win and so on. 

 

If you'd like to convert your 'free bet' into risk free cash (80% retention+, so a 100 euro free bet will be guaranteed 80 euro cash), say the Bet365 deposit 100 for 100 bet credits, take a look into matched betting which is a simple back (with the free bet on bookie) and lay (on exchange).

 

As a side note, if you ONLY do price boosts and keep taking value bets (which could be arbs), you might find yourself excluded by the bookie from future promotions and stakes restricted, they tend to crack down on this as a business decision because you're not the customer they want to retain.

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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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The bet: Bet builder on Tottenham Hotspur – Arsenal.
Odds: 2 selections above 1.40 total
Website + Link: https://www.unibet.eu/betting/sports/event/1006715424/tab/betbuilder
Restrictions: Open advent calander day 6

How to claim Bonus: 

  •     No need to opt-in
  •     Place a Bet Builder bet of minimum €10 on Spurs vs Arsenal
  •    Qualifying Bet must have minimum total odds of 1.40 and a minimum of 2 selections are needed
  •     Immediately receive a 25% Live Profit Boost you can use on the Spurs vs Arsenal match (max stake €25) (It willl be visible in the Free Bets and Uniboost Section)
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vanHooff Advanced Member

vanHooff

Posted
Posted
On 05/12/2020 at 06:25, NeWbZs said:

The bet:   Bet builder on Bayern vs Leipzig  

 

On 06/12/2020 at 08:18, NeWbZs said:

The bet: Bet builder on Tottenham Hotspur – Arsenal.

Now I know little more than the names of these soccer teams, but won't pass op on +EV.

I bet on Bayern to win with a goal by Lewandowski, and livebet on a draw when RedBull was 0-1 ahead.
Also I bet on Spurs to win while the other team got 2 yellow cards :D , and livebet Spurs to win 10 seconds into the match.

Thanks for letting us know!


image.png.94a0ae07cbe017cc26feab9e1782da39.png
 

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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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The bet: Bet €20 on BetBuilder on Champions League- get a €20 Live Free Bet on Champions League
Odds: Minimum odds of 1.40
Website + Link: https://www.unibet.eu/betting/sports/filter/football/matches
Restrictions:  

  • This promotion will run on 08/12/2020 00:00 - 08/12/2020 23:59. 
  • No opt-in is required to participate in this promotion.
  • In order to receive the €20 Live Free Bet, players must stake a minimum of €20 on a Bet Builder bet on the Champions League. 
  • Place 1 bet that is/has: min stake amount €20.00, min odds per leg 1.40 and a minimum of 2 selections are needed
  • Bets placed with profit boost or cashed-out bets are not elligible
  • The Live Free Bet has a value of €20.
  • The Live Free Bet can only be used on live bets on the Champions League.
  • The Live Free Bet is only valid until 23:59 CET on the 08/12/2020. 
  • The Live Free Bet will be credited once a qualifying bet is placed.
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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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The bet:   Any bet
Odds: 1.50 and higher
Website + Link: Leovegas.com
Restrictions: See promotions section

Terms and conditions

Qualifying bets must have minimum odds of 1.5 (1/2).

Maximum stake that can be used with the Matched Free Bet is €30.

Maximum value of the Matched Free Bet is €15.

See the bottom of the card for time of offer expiry.

Once the Matched Free Bet is claimed, it must be used within three days.

Matched Free Bet is only available via In-Play and via Mobile.

Qualifying bets must be placed with real cash.

Cashed out or voided bets will not count towards this promotion.

System bets will not count towards this promotion.

Offer cannot be used in correlation with other offers such as a Free Bet or Profit Boost.

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NeWbZs Advanced Member

NeWbZs

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The bet:  Manchester utd - Manchester City
Odds: /
Website + Link: Betstars.com https://www.pokerstarssports.com/#/soccer/competitions/event/15970099
Restrictions: A losing bet up to $20 will be converted to a free bet 1:1 (need to be accepted in challenges window)

 

I think this is a nice one: Bruno Fernandes & Kevin De Bruyne both to score @ 13.00 Because you only get the free bet if you loose a risky bet is more rewarding

 
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