dagreenblazer
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Posts posted by dagreenblazer
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Congratulations dude - Epic Win amount & hope you enjoy that cash out!
And also I swear this DOA2 bonus has to be the most frequent game replay that gets posted here - i can't think of any other game that gets uploaded here as regularly - every week the big wins section always seems to contain multiple DOA2 bonuses.
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Wow! He must have hit a mega bonus if the Ding Ding Foot Celebration ended up going that far!
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Woohoo! I always love the Freeplay Tournaments!
Thanks for running another one guys & Happy Spinning to everyone entering!
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38 minutes ago, IguanaBob said:
You are clearly an idiot. I've explained what the mathematical sums mean and I'm not going to get bogged down any further arguing with an imbecile
The probability of getting less than 482 is 2.33 x (10 to the power of -159); that is you start with 2.33, divide it by 10 once to get 0.233, divide it by 10 again to get 0.0233, divide it a third time to get 0.00233 and so on until there are 158 zeros between the decimal point and the 2. That is just how the notation works.
Again, my money is on the tracksino data being faulty, but if it isn't then the only other alternative is the rolls being fudged in some way. It's an either/or Tracksino or Evolution, they can't both be right.
The reason i responded was because i was trying to help you.
If you want to start throwing insults around then fine, feel free to believe in whatever conspiracy theories & mis-calculations you wish.
Your modelling data is absolutely exemplary and Evolution have 100% definitely engineered the dice to deliberately not roll doubles, and they've also definitely installed a video screen in the plexiglass surround so we can't tell it's all pre-recorded anyway, and definitely every single presenter is in on this.
Call the police - there must be millions of doubles out there just waiting to land if only they were allowed to.....in fact I'm pretty sure rolling less doubles than expected violates the UN Standard Charter on Human Rights too.....what swines!
Let's hope your investigation concludes with these slippery game providers being arrested, as without their evil fixing Monopoly would be a guaranteed investment vehicle.
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23 minutes ago, IguanaBob said:
10 to the power of 159 would put the zeros on the left side of the decimal, it's a huge number
10 to the power of -159 puts the zeros on the right side, it's a tiny number
the number is multiplied by 10 to the power of -159. In other words you start with that value and divide it by 10 then you do it again and again until you've done it 159 times. That is the probability of getting 482 or less from 7566
For example:
3000 = 3x10^3
300= 3x10^2
30= 3x10^1
3= 3x10^0
0.3= 3x10^-1
0.03= 3^10^-2
0.03=3^10^-t
If being generous and giving them back 158 zeroes, the above 3 probability sums read 7.889 x 10 x 0.1, 1.53 x 10 x 0.1 and 2 x 10 x 0.1 at best - I don't know what the odds of winning lottery 22 times in a row are but I'm pretty sure it adds up to more than any of these add up to, plus that's not even what the results are describing.
Binomial distribution just models probability within whatever data set you give it, so if doubles are rolling in under frequency then quite obviously the model is going to show this - and expecting it to correlate with Expected Values is unrealistic full stop.
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20 minutes ago, IguanaBob said:
What do you think *10^-159 means? I'll tell you what it means, it means 0 followed by a decimal then 158 zeros then the vaiue
Look mate, I'm not a conspiracy theorist but the math don't lie. Either the tracksino data is wrong or the Evolution rolls are fudged. 7500 is a huge sample size when talking about a 1/6 chance. Go to google, put in "binomial calculator", take your pick of which one you want to use and put in 7566, 482, 1/6 in the relevant fields.
I'm still thinking the problem is probably with tracksino, but the idea that the listed values don't represent a hyperunrealistic gulf is ludicrous.
The 159 above has a Minus symbol in front if it - that means the zeros go the other side of the decimal point - it's a Negative Power - it's 10 x 0.1 if i round up by 158 places.
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5 minutes ago, Stevej said:
I don't think you understand maths so well, and not being really precise about the details.
Have you ever seen any transparent video running and people "behind that video"?
Although, I don't know if it's a video, but that's technically possible.
If you think 1 month sample size of an independent value that has already been running for 5 years or so is a quality sample size then crack on.
If you think modelling that 1 months results post hypothese and being shocked it doesn't correlate with Expected Values which are based against Infinity is a sound platform to judge whether a game operator is cheating, then again feel free to believe.
You guys clearly only think we lose because game operators fix the games & it must be a conspiracy - you talk like if only the cheating stopped then all players could suddenly be winners, and obviously these 95% RTP games would definitely pay 200% if only the fixing ended lol!
It's just sad to see - it's like falling for the distraction technique while the pickpockets slipping your wallet away.
11 minutes ago, IguanaBob said:No it's simple mathematics. 1/6 is a very low variance event. After 7500 attempts the value should be close to 1259. The sheer magnitude of the gulf after so many attempts can be calculated as a decimal with 156 trailing 0s. That is just how far the gulf is. By contrast a 14 million to 1 event only has 6 trailing 0s
Bro, make the step up from simple mathematics and google Negative Powers - those zeros aren't trailing mate......
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11 hours ago, IguanaBob said:
Assuming the values in the OP are correct how do you explain the binomial analysis in my last post? Getting that many doubles or less is less likely than winning the original National Lottery setup 22 times on the trot. That is not a small sample size, that is virtually impossible. I haven't verified the values in the OP but if they're true then there is something very wrong.
To be honest, i don't even know how you've extrapolated that answer - the only thing i can think is do you realise those probability results are displayed with Negative Powers?? It's 10 to the Minus Power of 160.
Even disregarding sample size argument and everything else, to believe that 482 doubles out of 7566 rolls is so far under frequency of Expected Values that it's comparable to winning the lottery 22 times in a row is just ludicrous.
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Is definitely going to be an interesting watch!
City are looking exceptional atm, and if they bring their steamrollering best then no-one can stop them.
Though Inter are masters against better opponents at playing that fractured, tempestuous type game where they just frustrate all play and then grab a winner they cling onto!
I'd personally prefer City win, plus Pep will probably start attacking the whole stadium if they throw it away again!
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I don't want to sound like I'm defending Monopoly, because i fully agree it's 99% of the time a poor value game. I've played it for years, though recently i haven't bothered so much cause payouts been rubbish. The reason i come back to it though is because it's a fun, easy game plus i like how there's only 2 bonus sections to have to cover and how everyone gets paid the same, none of this pick your colour BS.
Firstly, i still believe 1 month sample size is way too small in terms of analysis.
Secondly, when dice are being rolled you can clearly see the presenter/studio behind the dice - admittedly it's a small little window and often presenter doesn't move across it, but it is always 100% live - the dice are never pre-recorded.
With regards to dice being fixed to not roll doubles, do you not realise the extra work that would be required to get 2 live dice not to roll doubles?? If they wanted to fix dice, why even have them live, why not just have digital dice they can easy manipulate?? The further you go down the rabbit hole of magnets, brakes & motors, etc the further you get from the actual truth.
The real truth is as i said before - to hit big in Monopoly, the game design and subsequent mathematical hoops you need to jump through mean that achieving a big win is an extremely long sequence of separate events that all have to happen in a specific order;
For example.......1 in 27 odds of Chance lands, Chance does whatever odds of revealing 10x Multi, Wheel respin lands 1 in 54 odds of 4 rolls, all 4 dice then roll the correct sequence of numbers to both avoid tax & jail AND if necessary roll doubles to reach the 2 out 40 possible squares which pay big (Park Lane & Mayfair). The slightest deviation at any point and big win is gone.
The steps you have to complete to hit a big win in Monopoly are HUGE!!
Casinos are more than happy for you to believe in fixing dice, motors & brakes because then it distracts you from both the fact you're losing full stop AND from the real reason of why you're losing.
Scams, fixes & cheating, etc get people emotional and emotional people spend more & chase more losses, behaviours that casinos love. No-one really gets emotional over plain old boring Maths though, yet the Maths of the poor value game design is 100% how they steal your money and is where the real scam actually lives.
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OMG! Is that seriously a Base game hit?!?!! That's absolutely astounding!!
Massive Congratulations & enjoy the withdrawal!!
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My personal opinion, i would just call that Variance.
1 month/7566 spins is a very small sample size when it comes to rolling 2 x 6-sided dice - even within that sample doubles are only running at just over 50% under frequency - this may look large on a small scale, but if you sized up to a billion rolls, then what currently looks a visually dramatic spike would soon flatten back out to average.
The other reason why i disagree Monopoly specifically is rigged is because extra rolls don't necessarily equal extra profit - it's perfectly possible to reach Park Lane & Mayfair within 4 normal rolls, so hence if it was rigged i would expect to see 11 & non-double 10 being restricted too, yet these 2 rolls happen the same as all other non-doubles.
Plus the main reason it's not rigged, is because they don't need to - the game design itself is such a marathon of different hoops to jump through before it ever pays big that casinos make money purely on people chasing a near impossible dream. The board layout we're having to roll the dice for is the biggest problem because so few squares actually pay decent; the actual dice themselves don't need to be rigged because there's so little to aim for anyway.
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Great Timing bro! Awesome landing! Hope you cashed a good chunk out!
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Sorry for delay replying mate - i had a good Google of that article too thanks - is interesting to read cheers!
I think again alot of code getting cracked will come down to who's PRNG software you're using & how well it's written, though there is certainly a strong potential for anything to be crackable and the power of machine learning means vulnerabilities that are invisible to human eyes will be obvious to AI.
The other area which will really ramp up this risk though is when quantum computing comes online - AI/machine learning can do alot of mad stuff but it's essentially still working on human designed systems and is limited by our current hardware & design methods. Quantum computing would allow a kid in his bedroom to crack the whole world in minutes; if that power is given to AI (and tbh, AI will probably be required to run these new systems because humans will be too slow to keep up) then literally anything could happen.
Though again, in terms of gambling the bigger risk would likely appear to be to the casino - i would not be surprised to see a quantum powered AI machine able to predict every future slot payout from a miniscule sample of 10 previous spins - anything that relies on an algorithm remaining hidden is going to be in big trouble.
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22 hours ago, Original Jase said:
https://casinoscores.com/funky-time/biggest-wins/6478de2754cfca759031c53c/
A 600x today. Anyone hit it? Anyone changed their opinion for funky time? I saw there was a 1250x on the 29th
I've been casually following CasinoScores stats on it and overall my opinion hasn't changed, though it's been interesting to see that alot of the big wins (including that 1250x) have been on the Letters segments.
My only new thoughts from seeing stats was i might well give it another try by playing just the 12 Letters only - i sometimes like playing wheel bonus games using systems that treat it like an Evens bet on Roulette. if you've got the bankroll then Martingaling the Letters looks like it can work ok for abit, though i would personally try D'Alembert on the Letters.
I used to enjoy playing systems on Monopoly & CT on number 2 with the aim of the Chance/Topslot increased payout opportunity making up for the fact you're getting less wheel coverage than usual roulette red/black, etc. Although Letters on Funky Time are only just over a 3rd of wheel coverage, i think the opportunity to land multipliers every spin & the fact they're multiplying on a base of 25x could be interesting on D'Alembert, plus what i liked on Mono & CT was you only have to play these systems till a big Chance/Topslot win lands, you don't need to come back down the steps to zero to see profit like you would if playing on normal roulette wheel.
Or from what I've seen of stats, even flat betting the Letters every round seems pretty ok strat, plus Letters would definitely be what i choose to play if i needed to beat any wagering requirements. Personally I'm still not swayed by the bonus rounds.
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In case any horse fans not seen it yet, Hamilton has an interesting race card today where all 7 races are offering 3/1 shots or under, due to small fields + some extra places (I'm using Willy Hill, so would assume better bookies offering same extra places, though double check it works out 3/1 on riders/places)
It's a mixed bag of races, but looks good value for trying a few small stake Multiples on, if anyone is looking to bung on a horse Acca!
I wouldn't recommend following my selections, as I've been real up & down with my picks recently, though I'm combining the following in my couple of Acca choices:
14:20 - Refuge (L.Chalkley) (cautious choice as is Apprentice race)
14:50 - Lieutenant Rascal (P. Mulrennan)
15:20 - Swiss Ace (B. Loughnane)
15:50 - Where's Jeff (S. A. Gray)
16:20 - Shine On Brendan (P. Mulrennan)
16:50 - Arkenstaar (C. Beasley)
17:20 - Cosa Sara (P. Mulrennan)
Wishing All The Best to Everyone else betting today!!
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From my understanding of it, it would come down to whose PRNG software you are using and which evaluation tests it has passed.
In the main, the mathematical difficulty problems of a 'good' algorithm for a seed to pass through should make any results inherently undeterminable - in a well constructed PRNG the system itself is deterministic but individual values within it are not. This is a criteria of most standards tests, as well as the requirement that forward or backward sequence guessing is impossible.
(And gambling is only 1 application use; Security applications would need PRNGs where it's more important that previous numbers generated are not being able to be guessed - casinos only care about the future numbers, but a well constructed PRNG only passes standards once it proves that any future or previous state conditions cannot be guessed from a snapshot of current state conditions.)
I would expect professional casinos to be using the best PRNG available - nothing personal dude though in my opinion thinking it'll be used to decide who gets paid or not is conspiracy thinking; professional casinos make enough profit running legal operations and us punters are just faceless, nameless numbers to them - 5% get paid, 95% lose money; they couldn't care less who's on which side as long as someone is.
And the reason they'll use the best PRNG is because they themselves are the biggest targets if individual values & results suddenly become deterministic. Any casino worth it's salt lives and dies on results remaining random. And that's not just for players, that's for staff too - advantage using employees are a way, way bigger risk than advantage using punters.
Of course, over the coming years i wouldn't be surprised to see stories of casinos using poor quality PRNGs, though again i would more expect it to be that the casinos get taken for a ride by it more than the punter base is. It is an interesting topic indeed, and any PRNGs which are generating poor quality results can often remain undetected for a long time, so i would assume potential for casinos to be rinsed out is quite high too if they're not using 'good' programs.
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Interesting selection cheers!
It is looking like an exciting final day! And if Saints could've held on abit longer and West Ham, Bmth & Forest didn't recently pull away, it potentially could've been a 7 way final day scrap - could've been madness!!
And though the 3 at risk (Eve, Leics & Leeds) appear to have reasonable home games, I've got the feeling all 3 may lose too. I also agree Chelsea will probably blow their chance to sign off season with a positive, and Newcastle could quite easily spank their stadium empty within 20 minutes!
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I sometimes watch a guy called ODB (i think he's friends with Rolla) and aside from his slots replays, he also uploads once a week a short 10 min video of his Sports Bets for that week. Normally he's just doing a general football Accumulator, though it's always interesting to hear reasons behind his picks and what he's gone for.
I remember Kim used to do a spreadsheet of his bets during big events, and even a YouTube Short quick vid about each bet would've been interesting to watch. Also, If it was World Cup again for example, then each successive video could keep a running total to update profit/loss as the bets progress over the tournament.
Although it's not as dynamic or live action like slots or casino, I'm always surprised there's so few Sports Betting streamers out there - especially considering streamers doing Asset Trading videos are so popular and that's basically the same thing with little real on-screen action and more just talking stats.
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43 minutes ago, FreeWheelerBaby said:
@karlosthegr3at I actually don't even know what the UKGC regulate, there main focus seems to money laundering that is all I ever see them interested in and now all of a sudden because the suicide rates have spiked and complaints have been made they are trying to look active towards the average Joe all of a sudden by putting on more restrictions in the UK, not getting the fact that the casinos make us suffer even more for it.
I would like to see more monitoring of software and an even playing field for all, not different skins of games for players of different countries with RTPS that they can manipulate, It was only a few years ago that the like of Roshtien and casino daddy where doing £2 spins, now they are doing £1000 spins per second, how is this possible? Please can someone explain?
Remember a few years ago when the sign up bonuses were 500%, what happened to them? Rewards these days are 5 free spins at 0.02 and that is if you get lucky. Dam right insulting when you have just lost thousands. I really hope they ban gambling all together, because it is impossible to regulate them and the common players are really suffering, and it is not because they are problem gamblers it is because people really believe they are just having a run of bad luck, when it's because ithey are just outright scamming us.
One major point i agree with you is the lack of bonus offers nowadays - the last deposit bonus offers i received had crept up to stupid 40x wagering levels but i haven't even received those in probably a year now - i literally get no bonus offers anymore, although i think the fact casinos are scared of getting rinsed by matched betting players is the main reason for that tbh.
I do also agree loyalty bonuses have disappeared too and the fcuking cheap ass 5 free min spins you get once a week or whatever are just gash.
I've actually got a dumb ass issue with William Hill atm where i'm banned from all promotions for an indefinite period whenever i spend abit more than usual - yet the greedy beggars haven't put any deposit/withdrawal limits on me, just banned me from promos & freebies lol! This is 2nd time they done it to me and i actually said to their livechat that i thought spending more would earn me better rewards, and they told me banning me from rewards was for my own good but I'm fine to deposit still!
William Hill are such dicks, but this is also the reason why crypto casinos are so popular - I've never used one, but quite a few I've seen do offer very decent reward programs and most are paying out free cash/crypto rather than just shitty free spins.
There was even 1 crypto casino i saw which had an awesome rewards system whereby every £10 or whatever you spent earned you site tokens that you could either swap out straight for cash or you could stake them on site and then be eligible for a dividend payout every week based on the casinos revenue - even if you never played again, your tokens stayed on site and you could log in & collect dividend every week. it was genuinely a really fair, honest & worthwhile reward system - i was well impressed with it, and high volume players would especially benefit from it.
Traditional casinos could learn a few things from the new crypto casinos tbh, and the fact traditional casinos are offering fcuk all value is a big reason why crypto casinos have exploded - crypto casinos often offer better RTPs, better sports odds and better rewards, so i don't blame people choosing them tbh.
And to answer original point, the only good thing regulation may bring is that there may be abit more accountability for poor casino admin decisions, though as others have said UKGC isn't always about the players anyway.
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Hi, what you do with any blackjack hand usually depends on what the dealer is holding too.
CGM has an easy to refer to hand chart of what is technically optimal play decision for each possible hand combination:
https://casinogrounds.com/guides/blackjack-chart-list/
Hope it helps give an understanding of basic play decisions - though remember with any gambling game there is no guaranteed way to win - the chart won't necessarily help you win more by detailing the best decision, but it can help you lose less by avoiding the worst decision.
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Would love to win €10K right now (or anytime is fine too, if the Universe is listening!)
If i got lucky i would do:
3K - Clear all outstanding bills/debts
3.5K - 2oz Gold Bullion
0.5K - 2oz Weed
1K - Clothes & Shoe Shopping
1K - Presents for friends & family
1K - Put in Savings
Hope i get to confirm this list in reality asap!
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2 hours ago, thereshecomes said:
@LordshipI gave it a try and ready to my conclusion.... Feels like.. You know when a man tells a woman I have a big pickle.... Then she has to use a magnifying glass to find it? Well this is how I feel 😂
Too many bonuses with no good outcome. Prefer less of them but with more exciting wins. Tho I like the fun side of it, with the music and all.
My casino VIP account manager told me it's not about the size of the bonus, it's about how i ride it 🤣🤣
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2 hours ago, jfeathe1211 said:
I think Funky Time is a decent proof-of-concept for the Digiwheel technology. The way multipliers are distributed on the wheel is clever and unlike Crazy Time, it allows for more than one betting space to get a multiplier. I'm not a fan of some of the design choices such as multiple clumps of '1' segments on the wheel and the entirely RNG-based "Bar" bonus. They also need to fix the ball hopper for the Stayin' Alive bonus - too many issues with the camera and the speed and the next ball in the queue getting spoiled.
Finally, I think there should have been a 5th bonus game that utilized the Digiwheel itself. What a HUGE missed opportunity to not have a fully digital wheel transform into a unique bonus game. Think of a live Crazy Time style wheel with jackpot multipliers, doubles, and triples that change every time.
The biggest disappointment is that this took 3 years after Crazy Time to come out. A company the size of Evolution should be releasing big wheel gameshows every year.
Oh man, i think the actual Digiwheel itself is an absolutely awesome piece of kit! It looks such slick & clean design! That was most enjoyable part of playing Funky Time for me, as i love cool, new tech.
And yep i agree that the potential for future games on those wheels will be really interesting to see!
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Although, I don't know if it's a video, but that's technically possible.
WILD WEST GOLD HUGE WIN 1000X+
in Big Wins
Posted
Wow! After those first 2 retriggers missed you must've thought it was gonna be usual dead bonus lol! Great to see the next 2 retriggers land though and was very generous of it to drop so many premiums once you got that awesome wild set-up!
Congratulations and enjoy that cash out!