Crazy time wheels statistics

[tei2308]

Hi there,

I've been watching a lot of casino streamers lately. Like many others, I love to see Crazy Time (Evolution Gaming). Since I'm studying econometrics, I decided to do some statistical analysis on the different crazy time wheels. I found out that there are four separate wheels. I simply call them wheel 1, 2, 3 or 4. For all four wheels, I simulated 10 000 000 (ten million) spins. I obtained the following data. Note that they are accurate op to a few decimals. 

 

Wheel 1

1. Average multiplier: 36.8705X
2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 26.9901
3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 37.0058%
4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 8.5595%
5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.0338%
6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 3200X

 

 

 

 

 

Wheel 2

1. Average multiplier: 35.4662X
2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 83.2670
3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 23.3359%
4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 8.9522%
5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.0618%
6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 51200X

 

 

 

 

 

Wheel 3

1. Average multiplier: 36.3638X
2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 36.1300
3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 33.3602%
4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 8.8680%
5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.1726%
6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 5400X

 

 

 

 

 

Wheel 4

1. Average multiplier: 36.2866X
2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 40.4652
3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 23.7767%
4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 7.2074%
5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.2746%
6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 25600X

 

Note that this data does not take the top slot multiplier into account. That's the reason why the crazy time bonus game has an average multiplier of 49X-50X on tracksino, whereas here the average multiplier is 35X-36X. Draw your own conclusions on which wheel is the best wheel :-).

Let me know if you want to see other statistics of the crazy time wheels!

 

 

 

 

[LetsGiveItASpin]

Wow, well done mate. I love stats so any you can give I'd love to see, thanks a lot for this and now let's go for that 51200X  

[tei2308]

Simulated another ten million rounds. Probabilities in percentages.

Wheel 1:

 

Wheel 2:

 

Wheel 3:

 

Wheel 4:

[tei2308]

The tables above in graphs:

 

If we're only looking at outcomes from 10X to 100X, wheel 2 is obviously the worst wheel.

However, if we are looking at outcomes from 100X to 100X, wheel 2 performs the best

This remains the same if we look at outcomes from 1000 X to 10 000 X. Now wheel 2 looks like the very best wheel. But note, however, that the probabilities to even get an outcome in this range are super low.

[Haagsefella]

thanks for the stats !! good job time to be a millionaire

[ryans_slots]

Now that's good data to have to hand however I do have a question..

Would it be the same Math if the wheel was spun in 1 direction only? - Base game as they alternate each side/direction every other spin?

Also do you know RTP for the same question..

 

[tei2308]

8 hours ago, ryans_slots said:

Now that's good data to have to hand however I do have a question..

Would it be the same Math if the wheel was spun in 1 direction only? - Base game as they alternate each side/direction every other spin?

Also do you know RTP for the same question..

 

The only assumption I made is that the wheel is fair. That is, all segments have equal probability to be the outcome. As a result, it does not matter in which direction the wheel is spun, as long as the wheel is fair. 

I can unfortunately not calculate the RTP, because I don't know the distribution (probabilities, etc.) of the outcomes of the top slot. On Tracksino there is a page (https://tracksino.com/news/crazy-time-multipliers-revealed) on which they calculated some statistics of the top slot. Unfortunately, these statistics are not accurate enough to do RTP calculations with. 

[simon1988]

i was watching it this morning!!

Crazy Time, Coin Flip, Pachincko, Crazy Time, Coin Flip, then another Crazy Time.... 6 Bonuses in 6 Spins, Unbelievable stuff... 

[Igor96]

Y'all just crazy.

 

How do u want to predict a thing which is pre-determined?

 

You can actually see when having some lag the wheel braking by itself to give certain number or bonus.

 

In this game, all u need is for some arab prince loose 1M in order to start paying some back...

Otherwise, it's gonna be all 1 or 2... 

 

Wake up 🤢

[FckrTardio]

i was like u igor69, but i woke up when i removed my tinfoil hat. to find out if crazy time is true i watch live and look at numbers. its all luck. ofc the game will make u loose in long time. sometimes you are lucky and win big. great place to see live tracking is here i think best https://casinoscores.com/crazy-time/